14 Nov Trouble Brewing

Trouble Brewing
It may not look like much, but I am surrounded by showers. We’ve had very light rain on board this morning so I’m calling that the first precipitation in more than two weeks. The clouds and rain are indicative of convection as a result of a generalized low-pressure area south of the Baja Peninsula.
Last night there was very prominent jet stream cirrus and an ominous halo glowing brightly in the light of a full moon. None of those are really good weather signs.
Checking emails after posting last night, I saw that John Bullas had been trying to contact me. John is a retired professional meteorologist and a good friend. Tracking weather along my route, John wanted to alert me to the 2 tropical disturbances to the south.
Grib files I had been downloading shows a significant increase in sea state over the next couple of days but winds remaining below 25 knots. The cirrus, the halo, the grib files and John’s warnings all add up to Trouble with a capital T.
This morning’s weather routing had me squeezing between the two disturbances. One due south traveling west at 12N and not much concern. The other, however, headed my way but mostly north but leaving me exposed to the dangerous semi-circle.
I’ve decided to give the fellow at 12N 113W some breathing room. If he goes north, I’m going west. The batteries needed charging and the engine its weekly run so I’m killing three birds with one stone.
Fingers crossed today for sure…
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